We’ll be examining three Serie A matches taking place this coming weekend and we suggest a bet in each game.
With Inter Milan having secured the title, there are alternative options such as exotic markets like top 4, relegation as well as top goal scorer should any of these options interest you.
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
SATURDAY 11 MAY
NAPOLI v BOLOGNA– Click here to bet
Napoli will host Bologna in Naples this Saturday, aiming to settle for a top-half finish this season. Currently 9th on the table, the defending champions enter this encounter off the back of a 1-1 draw away to Udinese Monday evening. With European qualification appearing to be out of reach for the Blues, these three remaining fixtures will likely provide an opportunity to build momentum for next season hoping to bounce back to former glory swiftly.
Having performed slightly better away from home, Napoli will need to put in more work in their remaining two games at their beloved Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. They have failed to register a single win in their last four home encounters, resulting in an overall tally of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses.
Napoli have averaged 1.41 goals per game at home this season, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 70.58% of those encounters (12 out of 17).
Bologna continues to make inroads as their hopes for Champions League football draw closer. However, recent nervy results include back-to-back draws have kept them on their toes. With three games remaining, the Rossoblu still have work to do, especially with teams like Atalanta and Roma potentially capable of spoiling the party. Currently 4th on the table, the Red and Blues have made significant strides this season, achieving their best performance in top-flight football regardless of the outcomes of their remaining fixtures.
While Bologna has excelled at home, their away performances have not quite reached the similar heights, despite reflecting a very respectable away record. They have yet to taste defeat in their last 7 away league appearances, indicating a significant improvement in their away form as they aim to climb further up the table. Their away record includes 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats to date.
Bologna have averaged 1.11 goals per game away from home this season, with over 2.5 goals slightly favoured at 52.94% of those games (9 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
Both teams had to settle for a 0-0 draw in the earlier encounter this season away to Bologna with Napoli coming out on top in this fixture last year with a 3-2 win.
The hosts have not reached the heights we have come to expect from them over the years, and with Bologna on the brink of achieving Champions League status for the first time in the club’s history, we take a chance on the visitors.
Suggested Bet: Draw no bet, Bologna at 31/20
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AC MILAN v CAGLIARI– Click here to bet
AC Milan are currently 2nd in the league and have all but secured their place in next season’s Champions League campaign. Saturday’s incentive will be to protect their status as runners-up this season, which would take them one step closer should they obtain maximum points this weekend. Despite dominating in every statistic in the game, Sunday’s 3-3 result was somewhat disappointing for the Black and Reds after conceding a late equaliser in the 87th minute against Genoa, marking consecutive draws in the league.
AC Milan will hope to return to winning ways this Saturday, knowing that they have a very decent record against Cagliari. The Black and Reds have registered four consecutive wins over their opponents in all competitions and will aim to extend that tally even further this weekend. At home, AC Milan have looked solid, securing 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats in the process.
AC Milan have averaged 1.76 goals per game at home this season, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 52.94% of those encounters (9 out of 17).
Cagliari will visit the San Siro on Saturday evening, hoping to improve their current run of form in the league. Last weekend’s 1-1 result marked their 7th draw at home, placing them 15th on the log, just 3 points ahead of the bottom 3. With three games remaining this season, the Islanders have yet to secure their place for next season’s top-flight football.
Away from home, Cagliari have struggled significantly, recording the third-worst record in the league. They have managed only 1 win, along with 5 draws and 11 defeats to date, accumulating just 8 points out of a possible 51 on their travels.
Cagliari have averaged 0.65 goals per game away from home this season, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 52.94% of those encounters (9 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
AC Milan won the reverse fixture 3-1 earlier this season.
Cagliari’s main objective this season is to secure their place in top-flight football and avoid an immediate drop to Serie B. However, it’s unlikely they will obtain anything from this encounter given their poor head-to-head record against Milan and their awful away record. The hosts should have too much class and should win relatively comfortably.
Suggested Bet: Handicap, AC Milan -1.5 at 23/20
SUNDAY 12 MAY
ATALANTA v ROMA– Click here to bet
Sunday evening will set the tone for this all-important crunch match at the Gewiss Stadium. Separated only by goal difference, Atalanta will have the opportunity to further improve their chances of European football this season, thanks to their impressive home record and the game in hand they have over their opponents. The hosts come into this weekend’s encounter off the back of a 2-1 win away to Salernitana and currently sit 5th on the table, trailing Bologna by 4 points for the remaining Champions League spot. With 3 points up for grabs this weekend, the Nerazzurri will need very little motivation, given what’s at stake.
At home, The Black and Blues have dominated for the most part, winning 8 out of their last 10 league encounters at the Gewiss Stadium. They have amassed a total of 35 points from a possible 48 by registering 11 wins, 2 draws, and suffering 3 defeats in the process.
Atalanta have averaged 2.19 goals per game at home this season, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 58.8% of those encounters (10 out of 17).
AS Roma arrive at the Gewiss Stadium Sunday evening looking to secure European football for next season. Currently 6th on the table, the Giallorossi are on the cusp, separated only by goal difference from their opponents this weekend. However, it has not been a particularly productive period for Roma, as they have registered back-to-back draws in Serie A, having obtained just one win in four Serie A matches. Sunday’s 1-1 draw at home to Juventus meant they’ve only managed to attain 8 points from a possible 15 in their last five league appearances overall.
On their travels, Roma have fared reasonably well, with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses overall. However, there are concerns that they have failed to register a single point against opponents, currently placed above them this season, away from home. This is something they will hope to rectify this weekend.
Roma have averaged 1.47 goals per game away from home this season, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 64.7% of those encounters (11 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
Both teams had to settle for a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixtures earlier this season with Atalanta winning 3-1 in this fixture last season.
Both teams enter this game with similar ambitions, given their close proximity on the league table. Roma have struggled against top opposition away from home, and with Atalanta returning to form domestically, home ground advantage could prove to be the difference.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Atalanta at 21/20
Click here for all this weekend’s Italian Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
