We take a look at Wednesday’s 2nd leg Champions League semi-final encounter between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, with the first leg delicately poised after an entertaining draw. We suggest a bet on the outcome.
On the outright front, Real Madrid continue to gain support given they are now priced at 12/10. Paris Saint-Germain have drifted out slightly to 3/1 but remain second favourites. Bayern Munich can be snapped up at 7/2, leaving Dortmund as the least fancied currently priced at 13/2.
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REAL MADRID v BAYERN MUNICH– Click here to bet
Real Madrid will look to take advantage of Bayern Munich’s misfortunes after securing a crucial 2-2 draw away from home in the first leg at the Allianz Arena. Vinicius Junior’s late equalizer for the visitors meant that Los Blancos will enter this crucial second leg unscathed, where they will likely dictate on their own terms, making the most of home ground advantage at the Bernabéu.
Last week’s result meant that Real Madrid’s unbeaten run in the Champions League has now further extended to 11, an impressive feat given the opposition they’ve had to endure en route to this point. At home, Los Blancos have been consistent throughout their campaign, registering 3 wins and 2 draws in Europe. On the domestic front, Real Madrid secured their 36th La Liga title over the weekend after Barcelona failed to secure maximum points away to Girona.
Real Madrid have averaged 2.4 goals per game at home in Europe this season with over 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of those games (3 out of 5).
Bayern Munich visit the Bernabéu Wednesday evening knowing that it’s all or nothing for the German Club. Having relinquished the title in the Bundesliga to Bayer Leverkusen, the Champions League represents their last opportunity to attain silverware this season. Despite
dominating in the stat’s department, Bayern had to settle for a 2-2 draw in the 1st leg, making their journey to Spain far less comfortable than they would have liked it to be.
Bayern Munich have been less convincing away from home in Europe, having yet to win on the road in the knockout stages. They suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Lazio in the 1st leg of the round of 16, along with a 2-2 draw away to Arsenal at the Emirates in the quarterfinals. Thomas Tuchel and his team visit Madrid off the back of another disappointing result on the domestic front over the weekend, losing 3-1 away to Stuttgart, making it 4 defeats from 7 on their travels in the Bundesliga.
Bayern Munich have averaged 1.6 goals per game away from home in Europe this season with over 2.5 goals arriving 60% of those games (3 out of 5).
Head-to-Head
Real Madrid have emerged victorious twice in their last three Champions League appearances at the Bernabéu, drawing 2-2 in their most recent encounter, along with a 4-2 win and a 1-0 win respectively.
Betting
Real Madrid 17/20
Draw 29/10
Bayern Munich 3/1
Verdict
Despite Real Madrid’s superb run this season, they have been guilty of conceding in Europe. Their last 3 appearances at home in this competition have resulted in both teams finding the net, with an average of 4.66 goals per game. In the knockout stages, they have yet to win at the Bernabéu, both resulting in score draws.
With both teams known for their attacking prowess, goals look like an obvious choice here. I’m surprised to see both teams finding the net and over’s to land priced at 5/6 given recent trends.
Suggested Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 and yes at 5/6
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