We take a look at Tuesday’s 1st leg Champions League semi-final encounter between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and suggest a bet on the outcome.
Let’s delve into the latest outright betting, where Real Madrid are now 14/10 favourites, ahead of Paris Saint-Germain at 5/2. Bayern Munich, in third place, can be snapped up at 11/4, leaving Dortmund the rank outsiders at 9/1.
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BAYERN MUNICH v REAL MADRID– Click here to bet
Bayern Munich will be hoping to draw first blood at the Allianz Arena when they host Real Madrid on Tuesday evening. The German giants prevailed 3-2 over Arsenal in the quarter-finals, securing a vital 2-2 draw in the 1st leg at the Emirates Stadium. This gave the Bavarians a massive boost, knowing they would have home advantage in the 2nd leg. They secured their place in the semi-finals with a Joshua Kimmich goal in the 63rd minute, resulting in a 1-0 win that ended Arsenal’s progression in the tournament.
Yet to taste defeat at home in Europe, Bayern Munich will be quietly optimistic about their chances going into the 1st leg, having registered 4 wins and 1 draw at the Allianz Arena en route to this point. Thomas Tuchel will be the first to admit that on the domestic front, Bayern Munich did not achieve the desired heights as expected, and as a result, they can only finish as runners-up at best this season. Currently on a 4-game winning streak in all competitions, the hosts recorded a 2-1 win over Frankfurt over the weekend, with Harry Kane netting his 35th goal in 31 Bundesliga appearances.
Bayern Munich have averaged 2 goals per game at home in Europe this season with over 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of those games (3 out of 5)
Real Madrid advanced to this year’s UEFA Champions League semi-finals after beating defending champions Manchester City on penalties, cementing their 12th semi-final appearance in this competition in 14 years. It was a fascinating encounter between two massive clubs refusing to budge, with the 1st leg resulting in a 3-3 draw and the 2nd ending with a 1-1 score line, requiring the penalty spot to dictate who would prevail. Currently unbeaten in Europe this season, Los Blancos can achieve what no other club has in the history of this tournament should they go on to lift the trophy on the 1st of June, realizing they are one step closer to obtaining their 15th Champions League title.
Real Madrid could not be in a better position overall, knowing that on the domestic front, they are on the verge of capturing their 36th La Liga title, given they have a healthy double-digit buffer with a handful of games over their nearest rivals. This means Ancelotti and his men have the luxury of focusing entirely on the task at hand over these two legs, with little to no distractions standing in their way.
Real Madrid have averaged 2 goals per game away from home in Europe this season with over 2.5 goals arriving 60% of those games (3 out of 5)
Head-to-Head
Real Madrid have emerged victorious in each of their three most recent Champions League appearances at the Allianz Arena, winning twice with a score line of 2-1 and securing a 4-0 victory in 2014
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Betting
Bayern Munich 29/20
Draw 26/10
Real Madrid 7/4
Verdict
Real Madrid have been superb throughout their campaign, and knowing Carlo Ancelotti has yet to taste defeat against Bayern Munich, they go into this clash as the team to beat despite what the odds suggest. Unbeaten on the road so far and with the Germans relying heavily on Harry Kane upfront, I believe the visitors can secure a positive result in what should be an entertaining game, given how both teams have performed in terms of scoring.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Both Teams to Score, Draw/Real Madrid and Yes at 13/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
