As we enter the last stretch of this season’s English Premier League, let’s take a look at three fixtures scheduled for this Saturday, where we’ll suggest a bet for each one.
Before we proceed, let’s take a look at the outright markets for the English Premier League. Following last week’s surprising results, there has been a significant shift in the market. Manchester City is now priced as low as 4/10 to successfully defend their title, with Arsenal offered at 4/1, followed by Liverpool at 6/1. The rest are priced at 1000/1 or better.
Click here for English Premier League Outright Betting
LUTON TOWN v BRENTFORD– Click here to bet
Luton Town’s form in the league continues to decline, with only 5 points from their last ten matches. Currently sitting 18th on the table with 25 points, The Hatters will host Brentford this Saturday following a heavy 5-1 defeat against Manchester City last weekend. At Kenilworth Road, Luton Town has shown some improvement by earning four points from their last two league games, bringing their overall home record to four wins, three draws, and nine losses. However, they will need much more if they hope to climb out of the relegation zone, especially with only five games remaining in the season.
Luton Town have averaged 1.5 goals per game at home this season, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 66.6% of those encounters (10 out of 16)
Brentford currently sits 15th on the table with 32 points. The Bees head to Kenilworth Road with cautious optimism after a crucial 2-0 victory over struggling Sheffield United last weekend, extending their unbeaten streak to four matches. Ivan Toney, who was on the bench in the previous win, may return to the starting lineup this Saturday, providing a significant boost for Brentford and posing a challenge for the hosts. Brentford has struggled away from home, with three wins, two draws, and eleven losses. However, a positive result against Luton Town would bring them closer to securing top-flight football for next season.
Brentford have averaged 1.25 goals per game this season away from home, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of those encounters (9 out of 16)
Head to Head
Brentford won the reverse fixture 3-1 earlier this season.
This looks like a tough game to call, especially given the host’s struggles at home. However, as we enter the crucial stage of the season, form can become unpredictable, and desperation often plays a significant role. With only a few games left at Kenilworth Road, the pressure is mounting for Luton Town. It’s now or never for them to step up. Despite the challenges, we’re taking a chance on the Hatters to deliver a strong performance on the day.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Luton Town at 21/10
SHEFFIELD UNITED v BURNLEY– Click here to bet
Sheffield United’s woes deepen as they face a negative two-point start in the Championship next season due to a deduction by the EFL for payment defaults. Sitting at the bottom of the table with 16 points, the Blades’ situation has deteriorated significantly. Their recent 2-0 loss to Brentford marked the eighth consecutive league match without securing maximum points. With six games remaining and a ten-point gap from safety, Sheffield United faces an uphill battle to avoid relegation. Their poor home record, with only two wins, four draws, and ten defeats, adds to the challenge, making their survival seem increasingly unlikely.
Sheffield United have averaged 1.06 goals per game at home this season, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 66.6% of those encounters (10 out of 16)
A crucial match awaits Burnley this Saturday as they visit Bramall Lane, knowing that anything less than a positive result could seal their fate in the Championship next season. Currently sitting 19th on the table with 20 points, the Clarets are six points behind Nottingham Forest, who hold the 17th spot just above the relegation zone. Last week’s 1-1 draw against Brighton didn’t help their cause. Despite having lost only once in their last six Premier League matches, Burnley’s frequent draws and inability to secure maximum points have hindered their climb up the table. Their away form has been particularly disappointing, with just two wins, four draws, and ten losses so far, adding to the frustration felt by manager Vincent Kompany and his team.
Burnley have averaged 1 goal per game this season away from home, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of those encounters (9 out of 16)
Head to Head
Burnley won the reverse fixture 5-0 earlier this season with Sheffield United winning 5-2 in this fixture last season in the Championship.
Given the high stakes for both teams in terms of league survival, it’s unlikely that we’ll see the typical high-scoring encounters between these two sides. However, with neither team likely to settle for a draw, there’s an opportunity to explore exotic markets involving the outcome and goals.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Sheffield United/Burnley and Under 3.5 at 1/1
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WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS v ARSENAL– Click here to bet
Wolverhampton Wanderers currently sit in 11th place on the table with 43 points, having had a solid campaign under Gary O’Neil’s guidance. While European aspirations might be out of reach for the hosts, they can still play a significant role in the title race, with upcoming matches against all three championship contenders. With six games remaining, Wolves have already secured their place in next season’s top-flight football. The question now is: how much further are they willing to push, considering their remaining goals for the campaign? Following a 2-2 draw away to Forest last weekend, attention now turns to Saturday’s match at Molineux Stadium, where Wolves have performed well at home, boasting a record of seven wins, three draws, and five losses so far.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have averaged 1.53 goals per game at home this season, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 66.6% of those encounters (10 out of 15)
Arsenal will head to Molineux Stadium currently in 2nd place on goal difference with 71 points. It’s been an emotional week for the Gunners, having been eliminated from the Champions League. This season seemed promising at one point, but now it could end up like so many before it—filled with unmet expectations, a familiar tale for Arsenal fans. However, not everything is bleak… yet. Trailing league leaders Man City by just two points, Arsenal will hope last weekend’s 2-0 loss against Aston Villa was just a blip, and they can bounce back quickly. With an excellent away record in the league, boasting the best figures on the road with ten wins, three draws, and just three losses, they will certainly fancy their chances this Saturday.
Arsenal have averaged 2.31 goals per game this season away from home, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of those encounters (9 out of 16)
Head to Head
Arsenal won 2-1 in the reverse fixture this season with Arsenal walking away 2-0 winners in the fixture last season.
The hosts come into this match with little pressure, as they’ve already secured their spot for next season. Arsenal has been outstanding away from home, with six consecutive clean sheets. They have more to gain from this game, so we should expect a strong response from the Gunners.
Suggested Bet: Arsenal To Win To Nil, Yes at 5/4
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
