The final match of the DSTV Premiership season takes place on Monday and we take a look at the game between SuperSport United and Orlando Pirates from a betting angle.
SuperSport United are currently 9th on the table, 3 points behind 8th place Arrows, but with a better goal difference so they have a big incentive to go after the victory in this game in order to qualify for the MTN 8 Cup at the start of next season.
SuperSport are coming off a 3-1 away loss at Baroka and prior to that drew 3 successive games, 2 of which were at home. Overall their home record this season reads played 14 won 6, drawn 3 and lost 5 and they are undefeated in their last 4 home games.
Orlando Pirates are 6th on the table and their last action was a 2-2 draw away at Royal AM and they have only tasted defeat once in their last 7 matches. Looking at Pirates away form they have played 14 winning just 3, drawing 8 and losing 3.
Digging a bit deeper into the goal stats, SuperSport United home matches have a 50% split between over and under 2.5 goals, while in Pirates case 5 of their 14 away matches have delivered you a profit had you backed over 2.5 goals.
HEAD TO HEAD
Orlando Pirates won the reverse fixture 3-2 at home and last season this fixture finished 1-1.
An interesting stat between these sides in recent head-to-heads in the League is that both teams have found the net in the last 4 matches and looking at the betting you can get both teams to score at 9/10.
BETTING – Click here to bet
SuperSport United 27/10
Orlando Pirates 1/1
Suggested Bet: SuperSport United win at 27/10
From the betting it appears the bookmakers expect a free flowing game by DSTV Premiership standards and they are probably correct. For me though the value lies in backing SuperSport to get the win as they have far more riding on this game than Pirates do and securing a Top 8 finish will surely see them highly motivated. They haven’t been playing well so it is understandable Pirates are favourites, but I think that at home with the Top 8 incentive dangling in front of them SuperSport are value at current prices.
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change