The 3rd and deciding Test between South Africa and Wales takes place in Cape Town on Saturday and we take a look at the game from a betting angle.
South Africa won the opening Test with a last minute penalty 32-29 at Loftus and for the 2nd Test no fewer than 14 changes were made. Despite the changes the Boks appeared to be on top of things and led by 9 points with 15 minutes to go. They had the opportunities to seal the match, but failed to do so and in the end it was Wales who hit back with the only try of the game and a conversion from out wide to win 13-12.
It set the series up perfectly for the decider and not surprisingly the Boks have once again rung the changes and are fielding what I would consider to be pretty close to their best XV. You have to give the Welsh credit for how they have performed so far given they started the 1st Test 18 point underdogs and the 2nd Test 12 point underdogs comfortably beating the handicap on each occasion. They haven’t got the luxury of making wholesale changes as the Springboks have and they must certainly be a risk that the team are out on their feet heading into the Cape Town Test.
South Africa: 15 Damian Willemse, 14 Cheslin Kolbe, 13 Lukhanyo Am, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Handre Pollard, 9 Jaden Hendrikse, 8 Jasper Wiese, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siyamthanda Kolisi (captain), 5 Lodewyk de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Frans Malherbe, 2 Mbongeni Mbonambi, 1 Trevor Nyakane.
Replacements: 16 Malcolm Marx, 17 Steven Kitshoff, 18 Vincent Koch, 19 Franco Mostert, 20 Albertus Smith, 21 Elrigh Louw, 22 Francois de Klerk, 23 Willie le Roux
Wales: 15 Liam Williams, 14 Louis Rees-Zammit, 13 George North, 12 Nick Tompkins, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Dan Biggar (captain), 9 Kieran Hardy, 8 Taulupe Faletau, 7 Tommy Reffell, 6 Dan Lydiate, 5 Adam Beard, 4 Will Rowlands, 3 Dillon Lewis, 2 Ryan Elias, 1 Gareth Thomas.
Replacements: 16 Dewi Lake, 17 Wyn Jones, 18 Sam Wainwright, 19 Alun Wyn Jones, 20 Josh Navidi, 21 Tomos Williams, 22 Gareth Anscombe, 23 Owen Watkin
BETTING – Click here to bet
South Africa 2/13
Handicap: South Africa -13.5
Wales under 17.5 Points at 8/10
I think this Boks team is going to be largely focused on keeping the Welsh out and even against the team that took the field in Bloemfontein, Wales never really looked like creating scoring opportunities.
Anytime Try Scorer, Bongi Mbonambi at 16/10
I think the Springboks are going to look to their rolling maul to get the business done and can see Mbonambi conducting the bus and getting over for a try sometime in the first-half.
Last Try Scorer, Malcolm Marx at 11/1
The same logic applies for Marx and the speculative play of him to cross the line last is the call.
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change